期刊论文

Potential analysis of clean development mechanism put into effect in China

Wang, C.

中文

中国环境科学

Zhongguo Huanjing Kexue/China Environmental Science

1000-6923

2005

25

3

310-314

10.3321/j.issn:1000-6923.2005.03.013

欧盟资助项目

本校为其他机构

建立了一个全球碳排放贸易局部均衡模型(TRCW),用于分析中国实施清洁发展机制(CDM)的市场潜力和市场结构.模型结合相关国际协议的规定,考虑了美国的退出、碳汇项目、热空气规模、交易成本、适应性基金、垄断供给等现实因素.结果表明,在马拉喀什协议下,中国的CDM市场规模大大缩小,仅为61MtC/a,利润收入约1.5亿$/a,其中重工业和电力分别约占41%和20%左右;如果俄罗斯不出售其拥有的热空气,中国的CDM规模将提高67%;在CDM市场上中国几乎不存在垄断力量.

A partial equilibrium model for global carbon emission trading (TRCW) was set up to analyze the market potential and the market structure of clean development mechanism (CDM) put into effect in China. The model combined with the stipulation of related international agreement; the actual factors including America's rejection, carbon sink project, hot air scope, transaction cost, adaptation fund and monopolistic supply were considered. Under the Marrackech Accords, the CDM market scope in China reduced greatly, only about 61 MtC/a, with profits of about 150 M$/a, in which the heavy industry and ...