期刊论文

Study on Medical Service Efficiency and Prediction of TCM Hospitals in Hunan Province

中文

中国中医药信息杂志

1005-5304

2018

25

10

4-8

10.3969/j.issn.1005-5304.2018.10.002

湖南省社会科学界联合会智库课题（zk2018009）；

本校为第一机构

目的通过对2010-2015年投入与产出的分析,在效率分析基础上预测湖南省中医医院2016-2020年的投入与产出数量。方法收集2010-2015年湖南省中医医院的医疗服务相关数据,运用数据包络分析（DEA）中产出导向型的VRS-BCC模型,对投入与产出数据进行效率分析。根据效率分析结果,运用统计回归模型对2016-2020年的投入与产出数量进行预测。结果湖南省中医医院2010-2015年综合技术效率均为1,DEA有效。据此预测出2016-2020年投入与产出的具体数量均有所增长。结论湖南省中医医院政府投入不断增加,新医疗改革实施后医疗服务效率良好,建议从鼓励社会资本进入中医领域、注重中医药专业人才培养,发挥中医药特色...

Objective To predict the input and output of TCM hospitals in Hunan Province from 2016 to 2020 on the basis of efficiency analysis through analysis of the input and output of 2010-2015. Methods The data of medical service of TCM hospitals in Hunan Province were collected from 2010 to 2015, and the output-oriented VRS-BCC model in data envelopment analysis (DEA) was used to analyze the efficiency of input and output data. Based on the results of efficiency analysis, the statistical regression model was used to predict the input and output of 2016-2020. Results The comprehensive technical effici...